Rashmi Dhar, manufacturer, and seller of ‘Kashmiri- kahwa’ through E-commers websites

29 Mar

Decision Science


1. Three airlines serve a Srinagar. Airline ‘Amira’ has 50% of all the scheduled flights, airline ‘Biyas’ has 30%, and airline ‘chinar’ has the remaining 20%. Their on-time rates are 80%, 65%, and 40%, respectively.

Part 1) Draw the Probability tree diagram. (Note: You may use any software for this, like MS paint, MS office, etc.)

Part 2) A plane has just left on time. What is the probability that it was airline ‘Amira’?

2. Rashmi Dhar, manufacturer, and seller of ‘Kashmiri- kahwa’ through E-commers websites.

She wanted to know the effect of her spending in advertisement of ‘Kahwa’ on the sales, along with the other factors; ‘number of sales representatives’, ‘customer-satisfaction ratings’. For this research she has gathered the sales data in the following table, along with other necessary information.

Part 1) Define dependent and independent variables

Part 2) Write regression model equation only.

Part 3) Run regression analysis in EXCEL (copy all those tables from EXCEL and paste them in your document).

Part 4) Write the Interpretation of Regression statistics-table, ANOVA- table.

Write an interpretation (by referring P-value/ t-stat) on significant effect of independent variables on sales.



Sales of Kahwa (in INR) Spending in advertise (in INR) Number of sales Representatives (person) Customer-satisfaction ratings (1=highly dissatisfied to 5 = highly satisfied
Kupwara 55328 5512 1 1
Badgam 56251 8337 1 1
Leh-ladakh 57126 8788 4 1
Kargil 58739 8828 5 1
Punch 66984 9050 5 2
Rajouri 70676 10150 7 2
Kathua 73206 11236 8 2
Baramula 80571 12538 8 3
Bandipore 93168 13161 8 3
Srinagar 99432 13448 9 4


3.a. According to one survey in India, 75% of Instagram users love REELS. Suppose that 25 Instagram users (randomly selected) have been approached in the university located in vile parle. They have been asked about their status of like/ dislike the Instagram- REELS.

a) What is the probability that Exactly 15 of them would agree with the claim (or said they love Insta-REELS)?

b) What is the probability that Exactly 20 of them would agree with the claim (or said they love Insta-REELS)?

3.b. ‘Bhartdarshan’ is an Internet-based travel agency wherein customers can see videos of the cities they plan to visit. The number of hits daily is a normally distributed random variable with a mean of 10,000 and a standard deviation of 2,400.

a. What is the probability of getting more than 12,000 hits?

b. What is the probability of getting fewer than 9,000 hits?


Essentials of HRM


1. With the world returning to normalcy post the pandemic, as an HR hiring manager you have the task of forecasting the demand for the next year to make sure you hire the right number and right kind of people. Explain the techniques of HR demand forecasting that you will employ in depth.

2. As seen in recent trends, organizations have moved away from traditional induction methods to many more interesting ways to welcome their new recruits. Take industry examples and share how will you design induction for new employees in an innovative way.

3. The past few years have challenged the traditional organizations to think differently. In Intellicore Solutions, where previously no efforts were made by managers for career growth of their workforce, things are about to take a turn for the positive. The leaders now realize the importance of retaining their best talent and have therefore hired HR managers to help create career and succession plans.

a. You have to guide the new HR manager to be successful in his career planning initiative. How will you explain the process to him?

b. The first step to an effective succession planning is ensuring that the objectives are correctly established. Describe the goals of succession planning that the HR manager should bear in mind.

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